I can’t think – Part 2

In times past, decisions were based, more often than not, on much less information than we now use to arrive at our decisions. This is, of course, due to the huge amount of information that is now available to us electronically via the Internet and other electronic communication media including mobile phones and the various […]

Gary on SKY News YMYC – 26th July 2011

Last Tuesday night, July 26, Gary joined guest host Lachlan Mc Pherson from HUBB Financial on Sky Business Channel’s ‘Your Money Your Call’ The pair discussed the recent oversold condition in our equity markets as well as participant indecision and the likely direction and trading range of the market in the medium term. Lachlan and […]

Active Investor e-Newsletter

Gary’s Comments All equity indices in the Overseas Market table below are in short term up trends except for the Shanghai All Share Index. The short term up trend will remain in tact until new 7 day lows occur. However, most of the indices have completed a lower high which is fine provided they are followed up […]

I can’t think – Part 1

As human beings we are often faced with a mind-numbing array of choices when making decisions that can leave us paralysed by the consequences of information overload. This can vary from making decisions about which new car to buy, which personal banking product to use, or which variety of jam to buy from the multitude […]

Preparing for an Avalanche

Nature has many cycles that are not controlled by mankind. But man’s response to these events can differ greatly in degree and that intensity of degree is determined by how it may or does affect us as individuals. People have difficulty keeping a neutral perspective on an event, regardless of what it is, and hence […]

10 Trading Tips for a new financial year

Active investment in the stock market is very different to passive investing and hence requires a different mindset and different skill set for decision making. Successful active investment requires patience, knowledge, objectiveness, consistency and amongst other things trust in your investment approach. So with a new financial year upon us, I have identified my ‘10 […]

Thinking you ‘know’ what will happen vs understanding probability

Let’s imagine you have just opened and read an email from the stock picking newsletter you subscribe to and see a buy alert for your “favourite” stock. The company is planning to announce its earnings to the market within the next 10 days, and it now has a ‘buy’ recommendation based on a potential positive […]

Active Investor e-Newsletter

Gary’s Comments The world is once again abound with negative economic news in both the USA and in Europe. These factors are obviously weighing heavily on equity markets which have seen falls around the world from 6% to 14% since early to mid April. Equity indices around the world are stretched on the downside in […]

Basketball Study #2

The last journal post spoke about 2 psychologists, Amos Tversky and Thomas Gilovich who in the 1980’s began sifting through shooting statistics from the Philadelphia 76ers – a US basketball team. The psychologists looked at every single shot taken by every single player, and recorded whether or not that shot had been preceded by a […]

Gary on SKY News YMYC – 31st May 2011

Earlier last week Gary joined Julia Lee from Bell Direct on Sky Business Channel’s ‘Your Money Your Call’. Julia and Gary opened the show by analyzing the Australian market’s direction following the recent 7.7% decline, which has occurred over the last seven weeks, and the 78.6% retracement of the gains since the last high on […]

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